Thursday, August 25, 2011

Another Hot Day on Tap!

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Another hot day on tap for Southeast TX. Some areas of Southeast Texas, especially to the north of Interstate 10, actually got some rain last night and this morning due to a disturbance in the atmosphere. Through about 7:30 a.m. however accumulations from these rains were fairly scattered. Expect the rains to continue on and off today before the drought resumes in earnest tomorrow.

INTENSE HEAT - Once we get past today, look out. Highs from Friday through Sunday at points in the region north of Interstate 10 could reach as high as 105 degrees. Temperatures as high as 110 further inland, such as in College Station, are also possible.

NEXT WEEK - The really brutal heat should continue through Monday or Tuesday. The mid-range forecast over the next one to two weeks is still hinting at a pattern change during the first week of September as strong upper level high pressure pivots eastward toward the southeast U.S., which is something we have rarely seen this summer. Even though my confidence in the pattern change remains on the low side, I’m encouraged by the new signals which favor an increasing risk of showers and thunderstorms during the first week of September.

So all and all I am very optimistic that a change is coming in our jet stream configuration, with a western U.S. ridge complex against a broad 500MB trough covering the area from the Great Plains. After another surge of hot weather into the Mississippi Valley by the end of next week, we may be treated to the spectacle of a cold frontal passage AND a tropical system forming over the Gulf of Mexico before the big holiday!

We shall see.... Brrrr  :-)



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