Thursday, September 8, 2011

No rain in sight! More fires expected!


SETX Weather: First off, please pray for ones affected by the fires. Please think about how YOU can help!


Dry conditions will persist through the weekend so firefighters will not have any help from Mother Nature to battle the Texas wildfires. In fact, a northeast breeze will be expected to gust between five and 15 mph Thursday afternoon and, mixed with the dry air, could actually stoke wildfires. We have a ways to go before we emerge out of our drought and fire debacle. Winds may pick up from the north and northeast on Thursday, and with sunshine and low dewpoints it will not take much to see rapid expansion of brush and grass fires. If I believe the various computer models, we are stuck with this parched condition through at least the next eight days.

Soap box kicked aside, The cool mornings, warm afternoons and calm winds will continue Thursday gracing us with another beautiful day, but the dry conditions are sticking around as well – and boy, do we need the rain! There’s not much of a chance that either one of the three tropical developments will bring any our way. We need Nate to go to the Texas coast, but that doesn’t look like it’s going to happen. Nate is forecast to bend off to the west as a Category 1 hurricane, go inland into Mexico on Monday and not sling any rain or moisture to Texas."

Today: Sunny, with a high near 88. Northeast wind between 5 and 10 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 57. East wind around 5 mph.

Wednesday, September 7, 2011

Cooler Weather Means Fire Danger! Pray for us!

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SETX Weather: Just about the entire state seems to be on fire! Dry conditions will persist for at least the next couple of days, but the cool mornings and calm winds will continue to aid firefighters in their battle against the Texas wildfires. It feels like a change of seasons is definitely upon us as morning temperatures kicked off delightfully cool in the upper-50s and highs are expected to top off in the upper-80s. The winds, which were a major problem for firefighters battling the wildfires over the weekend, will remain calm for most of the day, with a northeastern breeze peaking at eight to 12 miles per hour around 5 p.m., but that will settle down quickly. The extended forecast shows lows will be in the upper-50s Thursday and Friday, then increase to the lower-60s this weekend. Highs will remain in the lower-90s through Sunday.

Even though we’ve had to place our main focus on the drought and the Texas wildfires this week, we are still monitoring the tropics. Something is trying to brew out in the southern Gulf, but a dome of high pressure will -- once again -- block Texas from getting any activity. "A front that pushed through into the Gulf has stalled out and it’s quite common this time of year for low pressure to form on old fronts and it looks like this wants to develop. In fact, a lot of computer models turn this into a hurricane. "However, none of the models take it toward Texas and they race it off toward the Louisiana/ Mississippi coast or shove it south into Mexico."



As usual, these are early-model predictions so we will be watching it carefully.

Tuesday, September 6, 2011

Coolest Weather Since May Arrives in Texas!!

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This week, amazingly, will see cool nights. Not so amazingly, alas, is that both the days and nights will continue to be extremely dry. This week’s weather will be much cooler, with daytime highs around the mid 80s, rising to the upper 80s by the weekend. Overnight lows should remain in the upper 50s to mid 60s until the the weekend, when ...they’re forecast to rise into the low to mid 70s.




Wildfires: Importantly for wildfires near Houston and near Austin, the strong winds that developed from Tropical Storm Lee this weekend have died down, and winds should remain at modest levels for most of this week. Unfortunately, there will be little relief from the skies, with dry conditions expected to persist into at least early next week. In fact, some long-range models don’t show a chance of rain returning to Houston until the weekend of Sept. 17. These fires will remain serious!


...As for now, enjoy the Fall like weather! We ALL went through HELL to see this first front!